The Six Pack: Alabama vs. Texas, Baylor vs. BYU amongst greatest Week 2 faculty soccer picks

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The early a part of the season is probably the most troublesome to handicap, and that is evident by way of the primary two weeks of The Six Pack. After going 3-3 final week, I am an honest 5-5 on the season, however fortunately one in every of final week’s wins was the Upset of the Week (Florida over Utah). That made it a worthwhile week general.

This week will probably be fascinating for a few completely different causes. The primary is that … you understand … we have now seen all people play at the very least as soon as. That is an integral a part of studying a couple of group! The extra data helps. Nonetheless, we should additionally pay attention to overreactions to what we see.

Does Oregon’s 46-point loss to Georgia imply it is now not the most effective 25 groups within the nation just like the AP Ballot suggests, or is it simply a sign of how good Georgia is? Additionally, regardless that we picked the upset, are we certain Florida is the Twelfth-best group within the nation after an in depth win at dwelling in opposition to Utah?

We have now to separate the sign from the noise, and I’ve discovered some spots we will try this. All odds are by way of Caesars Sportsbook.

Video games of the Week

Featured Recreation | Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

No. 1 Alabama at Texas: It is the largest recreation of the week within the eyes of many, however will or not it’s the most effective? Whereas I am working laborious to erase the narrative about Nick Saban dominating former assistants by telling all people that he has misplaced two of his final three in opposition to them, one thing tells me Steve Sarkisian will not make it three of 4. Texas has constantly been probably the most overrated groups within the betting market over the previous couple of years, notably early within the season. Nothing about final week’s 52-10 win over ULM quiets my issues in regards to the Longhorns.

Texas goes to attain factors, nonetheless. Sarkisian is a superb play caller, and the Horns have a whole lot of offensive expertise. Nonetheless, that protection was so dangerous final season, and I am not able to belief it to cease an Alabama offense that appeared dominant in opposition to Utah State final week. The Crimson Tide put up 55 factors and 559 yards … and nonetheless took the ultimate 25 minutes of the sport off. Critically, it was 55-0 with 10 minutes left within the third quarter in opposition to a group that received the Mountain West final yr. I will not be shocked to see Texas have offensive success right here, however you possibly can’t rely on it to cease Alabama. Alabama 45, Texas 20 | Alabama -20

No. 9 Baylor at No. 21 BYU: The overall appears too low! It isn’t giving practically sufficient respect to what needs to be a superb battle of quarterbacks in BYU’s Jaren Corridor and Baylor’s Blake Shapen. Now, I’ve some issues about potential absences on offense for BYU, and everyone knows Dave Aranda’s Baylor protection is salty, however the line nonetheless appears off. These groups performed in Waco final season, with Baylor profitable 38-24.

I do not understand how this recreation could be decrease scoring in Provo contemplating the Bears’ improve at QB (sorry, Gerry Bohanon, nothing private). In final yr’s recreation, Baylor did an important job of slowing the BYU run recreation, however Corridor threw for 342 yards on the Bears. On the opposite facet, Baylor ran throughout BYU, with Abram Smith going for 188 yards and Trestan Ebner going for 95. Each are gone this yr, however Baylor unfold the carries round final week and seems to have good choices obtainable. In the meantime, BYU blew USF’s protection out of the water, however the Bulls offense discovered room to work. This one may hit the over earlier than the tip of the third quarter. BYU 31, Baylor 28 | Over 53.5

Lock of the Week

Featured Recreation | West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas at West Virginia: What a terrifying place to be. The Lock of the Week is off to an 0-2 begin on the season, and I am turning to the Kansas Jayhawks to get my first win. Reminder: these are the identical Kansas Jayhawks which can be 15-79 within the School Soccer Playoff period (since 2014) and solely 36-56-2 ATS in that point. However you understand what? The market is sleeping on Rock Chalk this weekend. The market doesn’t but understand the burgeoning energy being constructed by Lance Leipold in Lawrence.

OK, burgeoning energy is a bit a lot, however Kansas is bettering. Whereas the outcomes have not proven up as nicely, the underlying metrics I exploit to charge groups have been bettering since Leipold took over final season. Kansas is not adequate to achieve a bowl recreation, however it’s adequate to sneak up on some groups. The important thing to all of it is its speeding assault. Like Leipold’s groups at Buffalo, Kansas is nice at discovering explosive speeding performs. That was on full show final week in opposition to Tennessee Tech, however whereas I do not put an excessive amount of inventory in that — it is Tennessee Tech, in spite of everything — West Virginia’s rush protection and general tackling appeared suspect in opposition to Pitt final week. Kansas goes to maintain this one nearer than you suppose. West Virginia 34, Kansas 27 | Kansas +13.5

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Underneath of the Week

Featured Recreation | Northwestern Wildcats vs. Duke Blue Devils

Duke at Northwestern: What has the world come to that oddsmakers are posting totals close to 60 in video games involving Northwestern? I imply … what? As a result of the Wildcats had a pulse offensively in opposition to Nebraska in Eire, we’re all alleged to consider that they’ve merged into an Air Raid group? Hey, perhaps they’ve. Possibly Northwestern will probably be flinging the ball everywhere in the Large Ten this season. I am not shopping for it but, although, not in opposition to a Duke group with a brand new head coach who made his profession on the defensive facet of the ball. 

Duke shut Temple out final week and held the Owls to solely 179 yards. Temple will not be good, however we have been nonetheless capable of get an thought of how Duke desires to play this yr. The Blue Devils will not be in a rush to snap the ball, and Northwestern will probably be very happy to play alongside. Northwestern 23, Duke 17 | Underneath 58

Hottest Seat of the Week

Featured Recreation | UCF Knights vs. Louisville Cardinals

Louisville at UCF (Friday): If Louisville coach Scott Satterfield wasn’t on the recent seat already, he’s now following a 31-7 loss at Syracuse final week. It isn’t a lot that the Cardinals misplaced — a street convention recreation to open the season is not straightforward — it is how overmatched they appeared in opposition to a Syracuse group no one expects a lot from this season. Now, it is doable the Orange may have a breakout season like they did in 2018, however one thing tells me Cardinals followers will not care.

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So now Satterfield is staring down an 0-2 begin on the street in opposition to a superb UCF group, and historical past suggests it will not go nicely. As Ralph Michaels identified on Twitter, groups that lose as street favorites in Week 1 after which play on the street once more in Week 2 have gone 1-12-1 ATS within the second recreation. It isn’t a big pattern dimension, however it’s nonetheless an alarming development. And after watching Syracuse’s offense carve that Louisville protection to shreds, I worry what UCF may do. UCF 37, Louisville 27 | UCF -5.5

Upset of the Week

Featured Recreation | Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Boston School Eagles

Boston School at Virginia Tech: Each of those groups have been upset final week, however Boston School is the one I am the least apprehensive about. I am not saying dropping at dwelling to Rutgers is not regarding, however the Eagles have been in management for a lot of the recreation earlier than issues fell aside late and three turnovers killed them. At no level did I really feel just like the Hokies have been in management throughout their 20-17 loss at Previous Dominion.

I would be extra prepared to jot down off Grant Wells‘ 4 interceptions if we have not seen examples of poor decision-making from him earlier than, and 14 penalties is a big concern, too. In order we head into Week 2 with each groups dealing with an 0-2 begin to the season, I am going with the group with the QB I can belief extra. Phil Jurkovec is best than the participant we noticed in opposition to Rutgers final week, and he’ll bounce again in opposition to the Hokies, main the Eagles to a street upset. Boston School 27, Virginia Tech 24 | Boston School (+115)

Video games of the Week

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Lock of the Week

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General

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Which faculty soccer picks are you able to make with confidence in Week 2, and which favorites will go down laborious? Go to SportsLine to see which groups will win and canopy the unfold — all from a confirmed laptop mannequin that has returned nearly $3,500 in revenue over the previous six-plus seasons — and discover out.

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